Fred VanVleet threes made prop 2.5 vs GSW
Fred VanVleet, G for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.4 threes, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 44%; our own line 2.5.
- 27.9 minutes projected, starting
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the under 51%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 3.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 9, average 2.8
- Last 20: over in 6 of 9, average 2.8
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 2.8
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 12.7 threes allowed a game, 18 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 3.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 2.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 3.5 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 40%, average 2.2 in 5 games
- Rested: over 75%, average 2.9 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL | 2 | under |
More Fred VanVleet props
- Fred VanVleet points (our line 12.5)
- Fred VanVleet rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet assists (our line 4.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Fred VanVleet reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Fred VanVleet steals (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet blocks (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet turnovers (our line 1.5)
Fred VanVleet player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Fred VanVleet's threes made line vs GSW?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 2.4 and give the over 44%.
How often has Fred VanVleet gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 6 of 9 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 2.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Fred VanVleet threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is GSW a good matchup for Fred VanVleet?
Neutral: GSW allow 12.7 threes a game to all players, 18 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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