Fred VanVleet pts + reb prop 14.5 vs GSW
Fred VanVleet, G for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 16.0 p+r, give or take 6.7; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 15.5.
- 27.9 minutes projected, starting
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Lean over at 14.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 16.8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 9, average 16.4
- Last 20: over in 5 of 9, average 16.4
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 16.4
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 152.7 p+r allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 15.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 20%, average 12.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 21.8 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 20%, average 12.2 in 5 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 17.5 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 13 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 17 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL | 8 | under |
More Fred VanVleet props
- Fred VanVleet points (our line 12.5)
- Fred VanVleet rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet assists (our line 4.5)
- Fred VanVleet threes made (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Fred VanVleet reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Fred VanVleet steals (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet blocks (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet turnovers (our line 1.5)
Fred VanVleet player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Fred VanVleet's pts + reb line vs GSW?
The books' line is 14.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 16.0 and give the over 56%.
How often has Fred VanVleet gone over 14.5 p+r?
Over in 5 of 9 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 16.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Fred VanVleet pts + reb?
Lean, over 14.5: our chance 51% against the books' 49%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is GSW a good matchup for Fred VanVleet?
Neutral: GSW allow 152.7 p+r a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.