Fred VanVleet pts + ast prop 16.5 vs GSW
Fred VanVleet, G for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 16.5 p+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 17.8 p+a, give or take 7.0; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 17.5.
- 27.9 minutes projected, starting
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Strong lean over at 16.5: our chance of the over 54%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 16.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 18.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 9, average 18.8
- Last 20: over in 7 of 9, average 18.8
- This season: over in 7 of 9, average 18.8
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 138 p+a allowed a game, 18 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 18 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 15.8 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 22.5 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 15.8 in 5 games
- Rested: over 75%, average 19 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 14 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 17 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL | 17 | over |
More Fred VanVleet props
- Fred VanVleet points (our line 12.5)
- Fred VanVleet rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet assists (our line 4.5)
- Fred VanVleet threes made (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Fred VanVleet reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Fred VanVleet steals (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet blocks (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet turnovers (our line 1.5)
Fred VanVleet player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Fred VanVleet's pts + ast line vs GSW?
The books' line is 16.5 p+a, from 5 books. We project 17.8 and give the over 54%.
How often has Fred VanVleet gone over 16.5 p+a?
Over in 7 of 9 of his last 10 games and 7 of 9 this season, averaging 18.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Fred VanVleet pts + ast?
Strong lean, over 16.5: our chance 54% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is GSW a good matchup for Fred VanVleet?
Neutral: GSW allow 138 p+a a game to all players, 18 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.