Keegan Murray pts + ast prop 10.5 vs ORL
Keegan Murray, F for SAC, next plays vs ORL on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 10.5 p+a. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.8 p+a, give or take 6.1; our chance of the over 62%; our own line 12.5.
- 26.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Domantas Sabonis's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- may not play
Our lean
Lean over at 10.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 10.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 8.2
- Last 10: over in 8 of 10, average 12.9
- Last 20: over in 15 of 20, average 13.3
- This season: over in 2 of 3, average 9
Defence vs position
ORL vs all players: favourable, 146 p+a allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 100%, average 19 in 7 games
- Home: over 91%, average 16.3 in 11 games
- Away: over 71%, average 14 in 14 games
- Home (next game): over 91%, average 16.3 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 19 in 2 games
- Rested: over 82%, average 15.2 in 22 games
- vs ORL: over 100%, average 17 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs MIA | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs POR | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-02-25 | at HOU | 3 | under |
| 2026-02-23 | at MEM | 11 | over |
| 2026-02-21 | at SAS | 22 | over |
| 2026-02-19 | vs ORL | 17 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIL | 12 | over |
| 2026-01-02 | at PHX | 25 | over |
| 2025-12-30 | at LAC | 12 | over |
More Keegan Murray props
- Keegan Murray points (our line 11.5)
- Keegan Murray rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Keegan Murray assists (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray threes made (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Keegan Murray reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Keegan Murray steals (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray blocks (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray turnovers (our line 0.5)
Keegan Murray player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Keegan Murray's pts + ast line vs ORL?
The books' line is 10.5 p+a, from 3 books. We project 12.8 and give the over 62%.
How often has Keegan Murray gone over 10.5 p+a?
Over in 8 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 3 this season, averaging 12.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Keegan Murray pts + ast?
Lean, over 10.5: our chance 52% against the books' 49%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ORL a good matchup for Keegan Murray?
Favourable: ORL allow 146 p+a a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.