Keegan Murray pts + reb prop 12.5 vs ORL
Keegan Murray, F for SAC, next plays vs ORL on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 12.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15.7 p+r, give or take 6.7; our chance of the over 66%; our own line 15.5.
- 26.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Domantas Sabonis's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- may not play
Our lean
Lean over at 12.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 12.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 9.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 15.1
- Last 20: over in 15 of 20, average 16.6
- This season: over in 1 of 3, average 10.3
Defence vs position
ORL vs all players: neutral, 158.7 p+r allowed a game, 13 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 86%, average 23.3 in 7 games
- Home: over 82%, average 19.9 in 11 games
- Away: over 79%, average 18 in 14 games
- Home (next game): over 82%, average 19.9 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 22 in 2 games
- Rested: over 82%, average 19.1 in 22 games
- vs ORL: over 100%, average 23 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs MIA | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs POR | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAC | 6 | under |
| 2026-02-25 | at HOU | 4 | under |
| 2026-02-23 | at MEM | 11 | under |
| 2026-02-21 | at SAS | 22 | over |
| 2026-02-19 | vs ORL | 23 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIL | 15 | over |
| 2026-01-02 | at PHX | 32 | over |
| 2025-12-30 | at LAC | 13 | over |
More Keegan Murray props
- Keegan Murray points (our line 11.5)
- Keegan Murray rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Keegan Murray assists (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray threes made (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Keegan Murray reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Keegan Murray steals (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray blocks (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray turnovers (our line 0.5)
Keegan Murray player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Keegan Murray's pts + reb line vs ORL?
The books' line is 12.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 15.7 and give the over 66%.
How often has Keegan Murray gone over 12.5 p+r?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 3 this season, averaging 15.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Keegan Murray pts + reb?
Lean, over 12.5: our chance 53% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ORL a good matchup for Keegan Murray?
Neutral: ORL allow 158.7 p+r a game to all players, 13 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.