Keegan Murray rebounds prop 3.5 vs ORL
Keegan Murray, F for SAC, next plays vs ORL on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.1 rebounds, give or take 2.3; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 3.5.
- 26.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Domantas Sabonis's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- may not play
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the over 48%, the books' 47%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 2.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 3.7
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 4.7
- This season: over in 1 of 3, average 2.3
Defence vs position
ORL vs all players: neutral, 42.4 rebounds allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 57%, average 6.1 in 7 games
- Home: over 55%, average 5 in 11 games
- Away: over 64%, average 5.6 in 14 games
- Home (next game): over 55%, average 5 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 3.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 59%, average 5.5 in 22 games
- vs ORL: over 100%, average 8 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs MIA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs POR | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAC | 4 | over |
| 2026-02-25 | at HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-02-23 | at MEM | 5 | over |
| 2026-02-21 | at SAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-02-19 | vs ORL | 8 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIL | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-02 | at PHX | 9 | over |
| 2025-12-30 | at LAC | 2 | under |
More Keegan Murray props
- Keegan Murray points (our line 11.5)
- Keegan Murray assists (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray threes made (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Keegan Murray reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Keegan Murray steals (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray blocks (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray turnovers (our line 0.5)
Keegan Murray player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Keegan Murray's rebounds line vs ORL?
The books' line is 3.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 4.1 and give the over 56%.
How often has Keegan Murray gone over 3.5 rebounds?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 3 this season, averaging 3.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Keegan Murray rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is ORL a good matchup for Keegan Murray?
Neutral: ORL allow 42.4 rebounds a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.