Keegan Murray steals prop 1.5 vs ORL
Keegan Murray, F for SAC, next plays vs ORL on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.9 steals, give or take 1; our chance of the over 23%; our own line 0.5.
- 26.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Domantas Sabonis's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- may not play
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the over 21%, the books' 19%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 1 of 10, average 0.6
- Last 20: over in 5 of 20, average 1
- This season: over in 1 of 3, average 1.3
Defence vs position
ORL vs all players: favourable, 9.8 steals allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 71%, average 2.1 in 7 games
- Home: over 36%, average 1.4 in 11 games
- Away: over 29%, average 0.9 in 14 games
- Home (next game): over 36%, average 1.4 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 36%, average 1.2 in 22 games
- vs ORL: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs MIA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs POR | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-02-25 | at HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-02-23 | at MEM | 0 | under |
| 2026-02-21 | at SAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-02-19 | vs ORL | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIL | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-02 | at PHX | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-30 | at LAC | 0 | under |
More Keegan Murray props
- Keegan Murray points (our line 10.5)
- Keegan Murray rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Keegan Murray assists (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray threes made (our line 1.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Keegan Murray pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Keegan Murray reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Keegan Murray blocks (our line 0.5)
- Keegan Murray turnovers (our line 0.5)
Keegan Murray player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Keegan Murray's steals line vs ORL?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 0.9 and give the over 23%.
How often has Keegan Murray gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 1 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 3 this season, averaging 0.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Keegan Murray steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 19% for the over.
Is ORL a good matchup for Keegan Murray?
Favourable: ORL allow 9.8 steals a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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