Nikola Jokić assists prop 9.5 at MEM
Nikola Jokić, C for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 assists. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 10.3 assists, give or take 3.6; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 10.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
Lean over at 9.5: our chance of the over 47%, the books' 44%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 9.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 8.3
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 10.5
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 9.1
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: tough, 24.2 assists allowed a game, 25 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 9 in 4 games
- Home: over 75%, average 10 in 4 games
- Away: over 40%, average 8.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 8.4 in 5 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 9.6 in 8 games
- vs MEM: over 75%, average 11.5 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at NOP | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs GSW | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | vs NOP | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 5 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at SAS | 1 | under |
More Nikola Jokić props
- Nikola Jokić points (our line 25.5)
- Nikola Jokić rebounds (our line 12.5)
- Nikola Jokić threes made (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb + ast (our line 48.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb (our line 38.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + ast (our line 36.5)
- Nikola Jokić reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Nikola Jokić steals (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić blocks (our line 0.5)
- Nikola Jokić turnovers (our line 3.5)
Nikola Jokić player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nikola Jokić's assists line at MEM?
The books' line is 9.5 assists, from 5 books. We project 10.3 and give the over 56%.
How often has Nikola Jokić gone over 9.5 assists?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 8.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nikola Jokić assists?
Lean, over 9.5: our chance 47% against the books' 44%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MEM a good matchup for Nikola Jokić?
Tough: MEM allow 24.2 assists a game to all players, 25 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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