Nikola Jokić rebounds prop 11.5 at MEM
Nikola Jokić, C for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.5 rebounds, give or take 4.1; our chance of the over 57%; our own line 12.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 11.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 11
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 10.5
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 12.5
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 10.8
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: tough, 41.9 rebounds allowed a game, 22 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 12 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 10.3 in 4 games
- Away: over 60%, average 11.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 11.2 in 5 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 11.3 in 8 games
- vs MEM: over 75%, average 13.8 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at NOP | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs GSW | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs NOP | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 7 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at SAS | 8 | under |
More Nikola Jokić props
- Nikola Jokić points (our line 25.5)
- Nikola Jokić assists (our line 10.5)
- Nikola Jokić threes made (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb + ast (our line 48.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb (our line 38.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + ast (our line 36.5)
- Nikola Jokić reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Nikola Jokić steals (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić blocks (our line 0.5)
- Nikola Jokić turnovers (our line 3.5)
Nikola Jokić player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nikola Jokić's rebounds line at MEM?
The books' line is 11.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 12.5 and give the over 57%.
How often has Nikola Jokić gone over 11.5 rebounds?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 10.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nikola Jokić rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is MEM a good matchup for Nikola Jokić?
Tough: MEM allow 41.9 rebounds a game to all players, 22 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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