Nikola Jokić points prop 25.5 at MEM
Nikola Jokić, C for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 25.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 26.3 points, give or take 8.3; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 25.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 25.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 25.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 24
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 23.1
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 24.1
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 23.1
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: neutral, 110.8 points allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 25.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 75%, average 28 in 4 games
- Away: over 0%, average 19.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 0%, average 19.2 in 5 games
- Rested: over 38%, average 24.4 in 8 games
- vs MEM: over 50%, average 21.5 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 25 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 19 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 32 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 18 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at NOP | 21 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs GSW | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs NOP | 35 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 13 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at SAS | 23 | under |
More Nikola Jokić props
- Nikola Jokić rebounds (our line 12.5)
- Nikola Jokić assists (our line 10.5)
- Nikola Jokić threes made (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb + ast (our line 48.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb (our line 38.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + ast (our line 36.5)
- Nikola Jokić reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Nikola Jokić steals (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić blocks (our line 0.5)
- Nikola Jokić turnovers (our line 3.5)
Nikola Jokić player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nikola Jokić's points line at MEM?
The books' line is 25.5 points, from 5 books. We project 26.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Nikola Jokić gone over 25.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 23.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nikola Jokić points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is MEM a good matchup for Nikola Jokić?
Neutral: MEM allow 110.8 points a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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