Nikola Jokić steals prop 1.5 at MEM
Nikola Jokić, C for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.5 steals, give or take 1.3; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 1.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 57%, the books' 56%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 1.7
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 1.5
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 1.9
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: neutral, 8.1 steals allowed a game, 17 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 2.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 75%, average 2.5 in 4 games
- Away: over 20%, average 1.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 20%, average 1.4 in 5 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 2 in 8 games
- vs MEM: over 50%, average 1.3 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs GSW | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs NOP | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 1 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at SAS | 0 | under |
More Nikola Jokić props
- Nikola Jokić points (our line 25.5)
- Nikola Jokić rebounds (our line 12.5)
- Nikola Jokić assists (our line 10.5)
- Nikola Jokić threes made (our line 1.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb + ast (our line 48.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + reb (our line 38.5)
- Nikola Jokić pts + ast (our line 36.5)
- Nikola Jokić reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Nikola Jokić blocks (our line 0.5)
- Nikola Jokić turnovers (our line 3.5)
Nikola Jokić player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nikola Jokić's steals line at MEM?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 1.5 and give the over 42%.
How often has Nikola Jokić gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 1.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nikola Jokić steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 44% for the over.
Is MEM a good matchup for Nikola Jokić?
Neutral: MEM allow 8.1 steals a game to all players, 17 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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