Aaron Nesmith assists prop 1.5 vs WAS
Aaron Nesmith, G for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.7 assists, give or take 1.4; our chance of the over 49%; our own line 1.5.
- 24 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 2.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 1.8
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 1.6
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 1.8
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: favourable, 27.4 assists allowed a game, 9 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 2.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 1.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 80%, average 1.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 25%, average 1.8 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1 in 1 game
- Rested: over 63%, average 1.9 in 8 games
- vs WAS: over 0%, average 1 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at MEM | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs BKN | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at MIA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at MIL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at BKN | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 2 | over |
More Aaron Nesmith props
- Aaron Nesmith points (our line 10.5)
- Aaron Nesmith rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Nesmith threes made (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Aaron Nesmith reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Aaron Nesmith steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Nesmith blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Nesmith turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aaron Nesmith player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Nesmith's assists line vs WAS?
The books' line is 1.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 1.7 and give the over 49%.
How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 1.5 assists?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 1.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Nesmith assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is WAS a good matchup for Aaron Nesmith?
Favourable: WAS allow 27.4 assists a game to all players, 9 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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