Aaron Nesmith pts + ast prop 15.5 vs WAS
Aaron Nesmith, G for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 15.5 p+a. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 13.1 p+a, give or take 6.2; our chance of the over 32%; our own line 12.5.
- 24 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
Our lean
Strong lean under at 15.5: our chance of the under 58%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 15.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 14.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 15.9
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 16.4
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 14.6
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: neutral, 140.8 p+a allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 15.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 13.3 in 4 games
- Away: over 40%, average 15.6 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 25%, average 13.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 14 in 1 game
- Rested: over 38%, average 14.6 in 8 games
- vs WAS: over 0%, average 4 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at MEM | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs BKN | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at MIA | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs PHI | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at MIL | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at BKN | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DAL | 10 | under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 28 | over |
More Aaron Nesmith props
- Aaron Nesmith points (our line 10.5)
- Aaron Nesmith rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Nesmith assists (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Nesmith threes made (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Aaron Nesmith reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Aaron Nesmith steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Nesmith blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Nesmith turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aaron Nesmith player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Nesmith's pts + ast line vs WAS?
The books' line is 15.5 p+a, from 4 books. We project 13.1 and give the over 32%.
How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 15.5 p+a?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 15.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Nesmith pts + ast?
Strong lean, under 15.5: our chance 58% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is WAS a good matchup for Aaron Nesmith?
Neutral: WAS allow 140.8 p+a a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.