Aaron Nesmith threes made prop 2.5 vs WAS
Aaron Nesmith, G for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.9 threes, give or take 1.4; our chance of the over 29%; our own line 1.5.
- 24 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
Our lean
Lean under at 2.5: our chance of the under 64%, the books' 61%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 1.8
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 2.2
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 2.4
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 2
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: neutral, 12.4 threes allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 2 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 1.5 in 4 games
- Away: over 40%, average 2.4 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 25%, average 1.5 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 3 in 1 game
- Rested: over 25%, average 1.9 in 8 games
- vs WAS: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at MEM | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs BKN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at MIA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs PHI | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at MIL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at BKN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 4 | over |
More Aaron Nesmith props
- Aaron Nesmith points (our line 10.5)
- Aaron Nesmith rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Nesmith assists (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Aaron Nesmith pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Aaron Nesmith reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Aaron Nesmith steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Nesmith blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Nesmith turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aaron Nesmith player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Nesmith's threes made line vs WAS?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 1.9 and give the over 29%.
How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 2.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Nesmith threes made?
Lean, under 2.5: our chance 64% against the books' 61%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is WAS a good matchup for Aaron Nesmith?
Neutral: WAS allow 12.4 threes a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.