Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists prop 5.5 at POR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 5.5 assists. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.7 assists, give or take 2.8; our chance of the over 64%; our own line 6.5.
- 33.1 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
Lean over at 5.5: our chance of the over 46%, the books' 44%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 5.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 6.4
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 4.9
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 5.7
- This season: over in 3 of 10, average 4.9
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 23.8 assists allowed a game, 28 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 7.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 5.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 20%, average 4.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 20%, average 4.2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 6 in 2 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 4.7 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 50%, average 5.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 4 | under |
More Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points (our line 31.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander threes made (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb + ast (our line 41.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb (our line 35.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + ast (our line 37.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks (our line 0.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnovers (our line 2.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's assists line at POR?
The books' line is 5.5 assists, from 5 books. We project 6.7 and give the over 64%.
How often has Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gone over 5.5 assists?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 10 this season, averaging 4.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists?
Lean, over 5.5: our chance 46% against the books' 44%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Tough: POR allow 23.8 assists a game to all players, 28 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.