Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals prop 1.5 at POR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.3 steals, give or take 1.2; our chance of the over 37%; our own line 1.5.
- 33.1 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 62%, the books' 61%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 1
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 1.1
- This season: over in 3 of 10, average 1
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 8.9 steals allowed a game, 12 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 0.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 20%, average 0.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 1.6 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 1.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 1 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 50%, average 2.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 3 | over |
More Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points (our line 31.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists (our line 6.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander threes made (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb + ast (our line 41.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb (our line 35.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + ast (our line 37.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks (our line 0.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnovers (our line 2.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's steals line at POR?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 1.3 and give the over 37%.
How often has Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 10 this season, averaging 1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 39% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Neutral: POR allow 8.9 steals a game to all players, 12 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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