Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + ast prop 38.5 at POR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 38.5 p+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 38.0 p+a, give or take 9.9; our chance of the over 47%; our own line 37.5.
- 33.1 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 38.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 53%. Recent form leans under.
How he has done against 38.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 40.2
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 34.8
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 35.1
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 34.8
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 137.6 p+a allowed a game, 19 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 43 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 35.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 20%, average 34.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 20%, average 34.2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 34 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 34.9 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 0%, average 33.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 39 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 32 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 50 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 51 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 29 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 23 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 29 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 39 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 36 | under |
More Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points (our line 31.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists (our line 6.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander threes made (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb + ast (our line 41.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb (our line 35.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks (our line 0.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnovers (our line 2.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's pts + ast line at POR?
The books' line is 38.5 p+a, from 5 books. We project 38.0 and give the over 47%.
How often has Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gone over 38.5 p+a?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 34.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + ast?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Neutral: POR allow 137.6 p+a a game to all players, 19 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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