Shai Gilgeous-Alexander threes made prop 2.5 at POR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.9 threes, give or take 1.4; our chance of the over 30%; our own line 1.5.
- 33.1 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the under 62%, the books' 62%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 5 of 5, average 3.6
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 2.7
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 2.1
- This season: over in 7 of 10, average 2.7
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 11.9 threes allowed a game, 24 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 100%, average 3.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 2.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 80%, average 2.8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 80%, average 2.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 71%, average 2.9 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 0%, average 0.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 3 | over |
More Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points (our line 31.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists (our line 6.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb + ast (our line 41.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb (our line 35.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + ast (our line 37.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks (our line 0.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnovers (our line 2.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's threes made line at POR?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 1.9 and give the over 30%.
How often has Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 10 this season, averaging 2.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 38% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Tough: POR allow 11.9 threes a game to all players, 24 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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