Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rebounds prop 4.5 at POR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.2 rebounds, give or take 2.2; our chance of the over 40%; our own line 3.5.
- 33.1 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
Lean under at 4.5: our chance of the under 61%, the books' 58%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 3.2
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 3.9
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 3.6
- This season: over in 3 of 10, average 3.9
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 41.1 rebounds allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 3 in 4 games
- Home: over 20%, average 3.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 4.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 4.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 4 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 0%, average 3 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 6 | over |
More Shai Gilgeous-Alexander props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points (our line 31.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists (our line 6.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander threes made (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb + ast (our line 41.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + reb (our line 35.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander pts + ast (our line 37.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals (our line 1.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks (our line 0.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnovers (our line 2.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's rebounds line at POR?
The books' line is 4.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 4.2 and give the over 40%.
How often has Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gone over 4.5 rebounds?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 10 this season, averaging 3.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rebounds?
Lean, under 4.5: our chance 61% against the books' 58%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander?
Tough: POR allow 41.1 rebounds a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.