Ace Bailey assists prop 1.5 vs MIA
Ace Bailey, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.1 assists, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 59%; our own line 1.5.
- 30.6 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +12%, assists +1%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Lean over at 1.5: our chance of the over 60%, the books' 57%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 1.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 1.9
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 2.0
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 1.9
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 29.9 assists allowed a game, 1 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 1.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 2 in 5 games
- Away: over 60%, average 1.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 3 in 1 game
- Rested: over 50%, average 1.6 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 100%, average 2 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 3 | over |
More Ace Bailey props
- Ace Bailey points (our line 15.5)
- Ace Bailey rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Ace Bailey threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb (our line 20.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Ace Bailey reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Ace Bailey steals (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ace Bailey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ace Bailey's assists line vs MIA?
The books' line is 1.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 2.1 and give the over 59%.
How often has Ace Bailey gone over 1.5 assists?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 1.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ace Bailey assists?
Lean, over 1.5: our chance 60% against the books' 57%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Ace Bailey?
Favourable: MIA allow 29.9 assists a game to all players, 1 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.