Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast prop 25.5 vs MIA
Ace Bailey, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 25.5 p+r+a. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 23.2 p+r+a, give or take 7.8; our chance of the over 37%; our own line 22.5.
- 30.6 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +12%, assists +1%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Strong lean under at 25.5: our chance of the under 58%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 25.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 16.2
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 20.4
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 23.1
- This season: over in 2 of 10, average 20.4
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 196.5 p+r+a allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 16 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 24 in 5 games
- Away: over 0%, average 16.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 40%, average 24 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 30 in 1 game
- Rested: over 13%, average 19.3 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 50%, average 21 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 18 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 25 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 20 | under |
More Ace Bailey props
- Ace Bailey points (our line 15.5)
- Ace Bailey rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Ace Bailey assists (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb (our line 20.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Ace Bailey reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Ace Bailey steals (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ace Bailey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ace Bailey's pts + reb + ast line vs MIA?
The books' line is 25.5 p+r+a, from 4 books. We project 23.2 and give the over 37%.
How often has Ace Bailey gone over 25.5 p+r+a?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 10 this season, averaging 20.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast?
Strong lean, under 25.5: our chance 58% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Ace Bailey?
Favourable: MIA allow 196.5 p+r+a a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.