Ace Bailey threes made prop 2.5 vs MIA
Ace Bailey, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.1 threes, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 36%; our own line 1.5.
- 30.6 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +12%, assists +1%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Lean under at 2.5: our chance of the under 63%, the books' 60%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 1 of 10, average 1.2
- Last 20: over in 4 of 20, average 1.7
- This season: over in 1 of 10, average 1.2
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 16.4 threes allowed a game, 1 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 0.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 20%, average 1.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 0%, average 1 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 20%, average 1.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 3 in 1 game
- Rested: over 0%, average 0.9 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 2 | under |
More Ace Bailey props
- Ace Bailey points (our line 15.5)
- Ace Bailey rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Ace Bailey assists (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb (our line 20.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Ace Bailey reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Ace Bailey steals (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ace Bailey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ace Bailey's threes made line vs MIA?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 4 books. We project 2.1 and give the over 36%.
How often has Ace Bailey gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 1 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 10 this season, averaging 1.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ace Bailey threes made?
Lean, under 2.5: our chance 63% against the books' 60%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Ace Bailey?
Favourable: MIA allow 16.4 threes a game to all players, 1 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.