Ace Bailey pts + ast prop 19.5 vs MIA
Ace Bailey, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 19.5 p+a. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 18.1 p+a, give or take 7.0; our chance of the over 39%; our own line 17.5.
- 30.6 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +12%, assists +1%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Strong lean under at 19.5: our chance of the under 56%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 19.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 11
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 13.8
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 17.3
- This season: over in 2 of 10, average 13.8
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 151 p+a allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 11.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 15.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 0%, average 12 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 40%, average 15.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 20 in 1 game
- Rested: over 13%, average 12.9 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 16 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 16 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 15 | under |
More Ace Bailey props
- Ace Bailey points (our line 15.5)
- Ace Bailey rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Ace Bailey assists (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb (our line 20.5)
- Ace Bailey reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Ace Bailey steals (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ace Bailey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ace Bailey's pts + ast line vs MIA?
The books' line is 19.5 p+a, from 4 books. We project 18.1 and give the over 39%.
How often has Ace Bailey gone over 19.5 p+a?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 10 this season, averaging 13.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ace Bailey pts + ast?
Strong lean, under 19.5: our chance 56% against the books' 52%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Ace Bailey?
Favourable: MIA allow 151 p+a a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.