Ace Bailey turnovers prop 2.5 vs MIA
Ace Bailey, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 turnovers. 1 book is quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.8 turnovers, give or take 1.4; our chance of the over 28%; our own line 1.5.
- 30.6 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +12%, assists +1%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 2.2
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 1.9
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 2
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 1.9
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 16.3 turnovers allowed a game, 5 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 2 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 2 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 1.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 40%, average 2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1 in 1 game
- Rested: over 50%, average 2.1 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | turnovers | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 1 | under |
More Ace Bailey props
- Ace Bailey points (our line 15.5)
- Ace Bailey rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Ace Bailey assists (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb (our line 20.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Ace Bailey reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Ace Bailey steals (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey blocks (our line 0.5)
Ace Bailey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ace Bailey's turnovers line vs MIA?
The books' line is 2.5 turnovers, from 1 book. We project 1.8 and give the over 28%.
How often has Ace Bailey gone over 2.5 turnovers?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 1.9 over his last 10.
Is MIA a good matchup for Ace Bailey?
Favourable: MIA allow 16.3 turnovers a game to all players, 5 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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