Ace Bailey rebounds prop 5.5 vs MIA
Ace Bailey, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 5.5 rebounds. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5 rebounds, give or take 2.5; our chance of the over 39%; our own line 4.5.
- 30.6 minutes projected, starting
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +12%, assists +1%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Lean under at 5.5: our chance of the under 48%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 5.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 5.2
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 6.6
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 5.8
- This season: over in 7 of 10, average 6.6
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 45.5 rebounds allowed a game, 9 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 4.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 100%, average 8.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 4.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 8.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 10 in 1 game
- Rested: over 75%, average 6.4 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 50%, average 5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 5 | under |
More Ace Bailey props
- Ace Bailey points (our line 15.5)
- Ace Bailey assists (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + reb (our line 20.5)
- Ace Bailey pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Ace Bailey reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Ace Bailey steals (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ace Bailey turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ace Bailey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ace Bailey's rebounds line vs MIA?
The books' line is 5.5 rebounds, from 4 books. We project 5 and give the over 39%.
How often has Ace Bailey gone over 5.5 rebounds?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 10 this season, averaging 6.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ace Bailey rebounds?
Lean, under 5.5: our chance 48% against the books' 46%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Ace Bailey?
Favourable: MIA allow 45.5 rebounds a game to all players, 9 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.