Luka Dončić pts + reb + ast prop 50.5 at MIL
Luka Dončić, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 50.5 p+r+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 49.8 p+r+a, give or take 11.6; our chance of the over 46%; our own line 49.5.
- 35.2 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
Our lean
No lean at 50.5: our chance of the over 47%, the books' 46%. Recent form leans over.
How he has done against 50.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 59.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 55
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 53
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 55
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 197.9 p+r+a allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 80%, average 59.4 in 5 games
- Home: over 67%, average 54.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 50%, average 56.3 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 56.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 56 in 2 games
- Rested: over 71%, average 56.4 in 7 games
- vs MIL: over 0%, average 42 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 50 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 63 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 56 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 62 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 66 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 49 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 55 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 70 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 36 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs GSW | 43 | under |
More Luka Dončić props
- Luka Dončić points (our line 33.5)
- Luka Dončić rebounds (our line 7.5)
- Luka Dončić assists (our line 7.5)
- Luka Dončić threes made (our line 4.5)
- Luka Dončić pts + reb (our line 41.5)
- Luka Dončić pts + ast (our line 41.5)
- Luka Dončić reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Luka Dončić steals (our line 1.5)
- Luka Dončić blocks (our line 0.5)
- Luka Dončić turnovers (our line 3.5)
Luka Dončić player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Luka Dončić's pts + reb + ast line at MIL?
The books' line is 50.5 p+r+a, from 5 books. We project 49.8 and give the over 46%.
How often has Luka Dončić gone over 50.5 p+r+a?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 55 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Luka Dončić pts + reb + ast?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Luka Dončić?
Favourable: MIL allow 197.9 p+r+a a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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