Luka Dončić reb + ast prop 14.5 at MIL
Luka Dončić, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 r+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15.8 r+a, give or take 4.6; our chance of the over 58%; our own line 15.5.
- 35.2 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
Our lean
Lean over at 14.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 17
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 15.7
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 14.9
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 15.7
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 76.7 r+a allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 80%, average 17 in 5 games
- Home: over 50%, average 15.5 in 6 games
- Away: over 75%, average 16 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 75%, average 16 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 19 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 14.9 in 7 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 18 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | r+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 18 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs GSW | 15 | over |
More Luka Dončić props
- Luka Dončić points (our line 33.5)
- Luka Dončić rebounds (our line 7.5)
- Luka Dončić assists (our line 7.5)
- Luka Dončić threes made (our line 4.5)
- Luka Dončić pts + reb + ast (our line 49.5)
- Luka Dončić pts + reb (our line 41.5)
- Luka Dončić pts + ast (our line 41.5)
- Luka Dončić steals (our line 1.5)
- Luka Dončić blocks (our line 0.5)
- Luka Dončić turnovers (our line 3.5)
Luka Dončić player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Luka Dončić's reb + ast line at MIL?
The books' line is 14.5 r+a, from 5 books. We project 15.8 and give the over 58%.
How often has Luka Dončić gone over 14.5 r+a?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 15.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Luka Dončić reb + ast?
Lean, over 14.5: our chance 53% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Luka Dončić?
Favourable: MIL allow 76.7 r+a a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.